The Perfect Storm

kappySI

To kill the jinx, we must acknowledge it. It what must be some kind of twist of fate, the Niners are facing the Double Whammy of jinxes this weekend. EVERYONE knows about the Sports Illustrated cover jinx. And sure enough, there he is, big as life, Colin Kaepernick on the cover of SI this week. Holy . . . indeed. When was the last time the Niners were on the cover of SI? You guessed it. Right before last year’s NFC Champiomship game against the New York Giants. And we all know how that turned out.

The other hobgoblin of doom is the season-long pattern of w-w-l; w-w-l; w-w-t; w-w-l; w-w-l; w-w-l; w-w-??? 18 games into this season, and the pattern goes on. Uncanny consistency in being inconsistent. Every 2 game winning streak was followed by the NFL wonks declaring that the Niners are the best team in the NFL. Whereas they would puke on their shoes and get knocked down a peg or 3. Some losses were to good teams (Giants, Minn), some to bad (StL), and some were ugly (Seattle).

I don’t hold much truck in the fact that my actions determine the fate of my team (superstitions  being something I left behind me a while ago), but this may be the time to bring extra mojo to the table. The 49ers are 5-8 in NFC Championship games, and bring a 1-5 record in their last 6 playoff road games. Pish posh you say? Ancient history? Well, sure. But there sure seems to be a boatload of kharmic baggage to overcome in this game. So, dig out that old ticket stub, find that 26 year old t-shirt that brough you good luck in the 1994 Super Bowl game, and hope to hell these patterns don’t repeat themselves. Because as we all know, those who do not remember the past are doomed to repeat it.

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About unca_chuck

Lifelong SF 49ers, SF Giants, and Golden State Warriors fan
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137 Responses to The Perfect Storm

  1. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    I had the Niners picking Kappy in our mock draft last year.

  2. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    I certainly didn’t have AJ Jenkins, though.

    • phil fan's avatar phil fan says:

      The Niners scout that recommended him was promptly released “to pursue opportunities elsewhere” on the first day the Niners had the chance…forget his name. Not a ringing endorsement of the scout seems to be…

  3. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Well, i remember Harbaugh and Baalke both were thrilled that they were able to get Jenkins.

    It was a curious pick, and I wonder just what he’ll do next year. I mean really. If he can’t bump Ginn how good is he? I get that he’s fast, but . . .

    • Grumpy Guy's avatar Grumpy Guy says:

      It’s all up to him. Right now, his biggest problem is he is not strong enough to consistently beat the jam against a starting quality NFL CB. That can probably be fixed in the weight room, IF he will put in the work. The drops and confusion are rookie jitters; those don’t worry me excessively. But it remains to be seen how hard he will work in the off-season. If he does, I still think he’ll have a good career. If not, he’ll be another Rashaun Woods. The one ‘measurable’ you never have on draft day is the size of their heart. Some guys just want it more than others.

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        Considering that Jenkins and Kaep were joking around on the sidelines after the GB game, I think Jenkins has bought in. Then it’s just a matter if he can actually get off the jam – weight room or no weight room. My guess is Jenkins will get better with time. Randel, Sanu and Jeffrey would have helped us more this year. Hopefully, Jenkins will eventually have similar if not more productive careers.

      • TOUCHDOWN TOMMY's avatar TOUCHDOWN TOMMY says:

        If you want to review the draft and have the do over the guy you draft at WR is T Y Hilton

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        Yeah, but I didn’t know about HIlton pre-draft. Pre-draft I knew about Jeffrey, Sanu and Randel and they all had more productive first years than Jenkins.

  4. Internet sketchy so here’s an abbreviated update of our guessing game fer the weekend. Hopefully the web is available at 4am Monday fer the Falcs/Niners…Who you gonna call? If I screwed this up I’ll fix it on the game day thread. Let me know.

    Grumpy Guy: Ravens 35, Patriots 31. 49ers 38, Falcons 21.

    Nipper: Balt. SF

    barleyfreak: SF

    Phil SF 35-17. Balt

    Chuck: SF. NE

    Snarkk: SF

    Winder: 41 -34 Niners. Ravens 23 -21

    Flavor: Niners 42-10. Baltimore 34-31

    Spitblood: Niners 45-17. NE

    12th man: Niners. Balt

    Irish Kevin: Niners

    shaman138: Bradys over Ravens 35-21…Niners over the vultures 21-17.

    Alleykat: Niners

    Chico: Niners

    Gentlemen Let’s whup da doity boids

  5. Grumpy Guy's avatar Grumpy Guy says:

    NJ posted this at Skeebers. If you read only one thing about Kappy this year, this should be it. Absolutely no shit. This kid is an awesome human being and is going to be a monster in this league. Canton, save him a space. I think you’ll be needing it.

    http://tinyurl.com/a3gxrah

  6. Grumpy Guy's avatar Grumpy Guy says:

    Chuck, one of my posts might be stuck in your spam filter. The article I linked to, posted by NJ at Skeebers’ blog, is worth reading.

  7. snarkk's avatar snarkk says:

    I’m going HarBowl:
    SF 31-20
    Balt 27-24

  8. barleyfreak's avatar barleyfreak says:

    “…and can’t speak English.. or speak in general…”

    When you’re on, you’re on.

    +1

  9. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    Came across another good read to share –

    http://tinyurl.com/a3gxrah

  10. barleyfreak's avatar barleyfreak says:

    “If he can’t bump Ginn how good is he? ”

    I know Spit isn’t worried about Jenkins, but for this reason, I still am. 17 weeks into the season to be targeted? For a first rounder? Really? Dropped passes, rookie jitters, that’s a given with few exceptions, but I haven’t seen any diddly squat being given out.

    And +1 on the 1st round going to the DL. That we don’t substitute much at all compared to other DLs is actually a weakness. We need depth there. We need fresh legs there. We have neither. We’ll garner a Super Bowl this year (holding fast and true), possibly by the hair on our chinny chin chin, but we need to address it in the off season.

  11. barleyfreak's avatar barleyfreak says:

    Just doing some late night duty finding memorable quotes. This from ESPN’s Rick Reilly, speaking about Kaep:

    “This kid has a chance to be better than Steve Young, and I don’t say that just to annoy Steve Young, though it’s fun.”

  12. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    Barley see if you can locate the media genius from the Falcon Presser this afternoon that asked HC Mike Smith, what plans he might have to stop ‘Copernicus’ on Sunday.

    No joke intended, he actually didn’t get Colins’ name correct.

    Way to prepare there Nut Job.

  13. NoFear49er's avatar NoFear49er says:

    Hey NJ49er, glad to have the link(s), thanks.

    I think Kaepernick has been called Copernicus for the humorous effect and from folks just not caring if they get it right. I’ve seen it here and there on the interwebs for a while, probably since he took the starting job. I see “Kaepernicking” is all over the web now. They’ll get it right pretty soon.

    btw, have you tried hitting Ctrl + F5 to force your browser to reload a new page instead of loading from your cache, or just clearing your temp files and browser cache, when you have a problem posting here?

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      NoFear49er it’s a network thing for me.
      They literally Block the site.
      Typically it’s content driven as Corp rules go. Ala no porn etc.
      Not sure why this is blacklisted since I have no issues with other sites
      such as Skeebs.

      As for the Kaep/Copernicus nonsense, this media individual at the presser literally got Mike Smith to squint a little as to ‘what the hell are you talking about?’.
      I kinda hoped Coach was gonna call him on it but he let it slide.

      They can call him anything they want.
      Just hoping he shocks the Falcons and gets the chance to land us
      Lombardi #6.

      • NoFear49er's avatar NoFear49er says:

        NJ49er, I thought when you said “Network Gods” you were referring to the mystical and unknown controllers of the ether not merely paranoid sys admins. I can see how this site may have trouble from time to time lighting up a language trap in a disallowed site firewall.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Precisely NoFear49er.
        But typically, (from what I’ve heard), it’s content/subject driven?
        Not sure if the way it’s registered raises the firewall flags or not?

        Since this is considered social media we have flags on such sites as
        Facebook for example.
        Just can’t determine what makes this site any different than Skeebs’ in terms of
        the red flag.

        If this is considered a sports/social media site vs a sports/wagering site,
        I could see the flag, since we are blocked from betting/wagering etc.
        It’s beyond my scope since I’m not a Network Admin.

        But like tonight, I click, I get through.
        Who fricken knows?

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Hey?
        Who knows?
        Maybe they lifted a restriction tonight?
        See how it plays out as time rolls on.

        If my ID shows up on some IP Restricted List I can ask some questions.
        Hopefully not while I’m being escorted out of the building.

      • NoFear49er's avatar NoFear49er says:

        NJ49er, content filtering is usually accomplished through a weighted word evaluation of some type. Since this site apparently isn’t on a blacklist for your firewall (you’d never get through) I’m thinking it’s evaluated when the page is requested. Not much can be done from your end if it exceeds the threshold value.

        There are ways to get around some web surfing filters but your admins would probably take a dim view of such attempts I’m guessing. I could write a post with a slew of words sure to light up your filter and see if you get locked out. (Just kidding there) I’m guessing the difference between Chuck’s and Skeebers’ sites is Skeebers’ language filter.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Sounds reasonable to me NoFear49er

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      So the question that would immediately come to my mind is, can Chuck Admin
      that filter or, does WordPress control it?

  14. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    Be great to have the story of Kaep and his phenomenal journey to the big stage told for the SB Lead In weeks.
    Amazing stuff.

    Sammy the Tortoise and the Big Easy.
    Let’s get it done on Sunday!

  15. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    I have a player to look for at the East/West Shrine Game this weekend.

    UNC WR Erik Highsmith.
    6’3″190, being noticed for ‘Excellent Snatch Catch Ability’.

    Probably the most impressive part of Crabtrees’ game, his ability to snatch and go.
    Need those hands with Kaep pulling the trigger.
    Slotted as a Late Rd/FA at this point.

  16. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    I can ban words and such, but I choose not to. What is curious to me is the fact that it isn’t all or nothing, You DO get through sometimes. That would lead me to believe its not a word filtering thing. Unless we haven’t dropped F-bombs lately?

  17. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Jags sign a Seahawk coordinator. Great news for the 49ers. Not only do we not lose Roman to the Jags, but the move also weakens the Seahawks.

  18. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Fuck that . . . But it’s good to see you over here NJ.

    Now see if you are banned.

  19. twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

    Tolzein got the 3 job because he was a better scout or “look” QB than Johnson. That’s his niche. They’ll need a legit 2.

    • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

      Again…. not true at all. Tolzien got the job because Harbaugh didn’t want to lose him to another team in the NFL because Harbaugh thinks Tolzien could a star – or at least a very good NFL qb. The NFL knows what JJ is. They don’t know what Tolzien will be. Much like you didn’t know what Kaep would become….

      • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

        No, as Matt Barrows wrote on the SacBee when the cuts were made, it was for the exact reason I stated.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Welcome back Twin.

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        Well, then we’ll just have to wait and see who’s right. I think both Jenkins and Tolzien will prove to be good pros.

      • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

        Thank you, 12. I’m not here to argue about Kap/Smith. I fully expect Kap to finish the job Alex started. I’ve called 24-20 Sunday and 17-16 over the Ravens to win the SB. I’m sorry I’m not calling 56-0 in both games, I just see them as close. I did think the Pack game would be close, too, although I did call for a Niner victory. I root for them, I always thought Kap was a great talent, there will never be anyway to show either way how they would have fared with Smith, I’m delighted to see he’ll be getting the Muni tracks off his back, and have nothing more to say on the QB shit. And I don’t expect to get shit about it from the usuals. If that happens, I’d hope that Chiuck handles them as a blog moderator should. I’m sure he will. Hello, my friend-now let’s get it on-anybody having a problem if C.J. is my new main man 😉

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        I agree about Tolzein, he looks like possible starting material to me. Not sure what you base your opinion of Jenkins on, he did a little bit in pre-season but hasn’t been able to get on the field and when he has it was nondescript so I have no real opinion about Jenkins yet.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Twin, I enjoy reading your stuff more than most even we don’t see eye to eye on i., Your takes are usually interesting and sometimes an angle I hadn’t thought of. I hope you don’t take our differences of opinion as personal, I certainly didn’t intend that. Just enjoyed the banter.

    • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

      Spit, I’ll be happy enough to dance in a Broadway musical if you are correct. I’ve read some of your recent comments, and I’ve found many to be quite informative and interesting. Wrong, but interesting 😉

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Twin, I agree that SF and BR are the likely SB teams and that both games to get there will be close by the way and I never have doubted your SF fan credentials.

      • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

        Others have but I’m not going into that anymore, either. Th accusation is absurd. Funny thing yesterday-I accidentally discovered that I could post new threads here. If anyone needs further proof of what a fine wondeful generous man and dog owner I am…I alerted Chuck to the situation instead of putting up the new and exciting thread: “Alex Smith: the Man, the Legend.Profile in Courage 😉
        (I definitely need to make use of the winking man)

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Would have been funnier to just do the thread.

      • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

        Uh, I don’t think so. But don’t encourage me.

  20. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    I thought it was funny Nolan called Greg Roman Greg Norman, he might be eating that slight for quite a while on Sunday.

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