Forty Niners Forever

Yeah, Seattle is our nemesis of all nemesises, and winning three times against the same team can be problematic but holy shit, Big Cock Brock and Roll Over Beethoven is Rookie of the Month (?), Christian McSavior-caffrey is Offensive Player of the month, Big Dick Nick Bosa was Defensive Player of the Month, and even Pete Carroll is getting into the act saying the 49ers are unbeatable.

I hate this feeling of the world singing your praises while getting ready for the playoffs. As we all know, anything can happen, and everything usually does.

I will say that I have a much better feeling around the way Shanahan has handled the play calling this season. Well at least after the early season mess that was the Trey Lance debacle and the early shit-show of Jimmy G. I think the biggest change is the can’t-be-understated acquisition of Christian McCaffrey.

CMC is as equally adept at ripping off tough runs up the middle as he is at taking swing passes and checkdowns up the field for 1st downs. Incorporating him into the offense takes the pressure off of Kittle to be the checkdown and he can be used in the intermediate passing game. This forces defenses, mainly linebackers, to account for Kittle and opens up routes for Aiyuk, Deebo, and Jennings. Even McCloud.

So, the point here is, this leads to any given pass play has someone open to hit. And since Purdy seems to be very capable of reading the field quickly, he is getting good passes off and hitting his marks. It isn’t super-flashy, but with the field spread out with our weapons, any 8-12 yard pass can easily turn into a 30-40 yard chunk play.

Defensively we are better than we have been in our recent successful seasons. The pass rush with Bosa is doing fine, AA is back, we are getting Greenlaw back, and I think we will look to cover DK Metcalf with Mooney Ward exclusively. I’d think Seattle will try to move Metcalf into the slot to get different matchups, but we will see about that. I just really with we didn’t lose Emanuel Moseley to injury. One thing I would like to see is Ryans go to the blitz earlier to try and force mistakes from Geno Pizza Roll.

The big equalizer? The weather. Today it isn’t raining, but Saturday looks like rain all day, and some wind. This means the run game looks to be something the 49ers can exploit, and yeah, this usually means shorter passes are easier to hit than long ones, but turnovers in wet weather are a huge issue. Punts and kickoff returns become scary and dangerous.

No matter how well we are supposed to do, ball control is paramount. Still raining, still dreaming of a Super Bowl.

Man, I really wanted to face Detroit. Someone different. Green Bay? Meh. Seattle? Wellll, on one hand, Geno Smith is no Aaron Rodgers, but playing Seattle three times has me a little bit nervous. The 49ers seemed to exorcize their demons this season with two wins over the Seahawks, who snuck in under the gagging Packers. But how good can Seattle be if they can barely take the Rams?

Yeah, the playoffs are a different animal, and Seattle has something that gives the Niners fits. And that is a deep passing game. Both Metcalf and Lockett have over 1,000 yards catching the ball, and 15 TDs between ’em. Geno has put up some gaudy numbers in 4200 yards passing, 30 TDs on 11 picks, but that is because they usually play from behind. Still, Kenneth Walker has over 1,000 yards rushing with a 4.6 average.

So, the defense really needs to get after Geno early and often. Pete the Cheat has a way of figuring out how to get favorable matchups. At least on offense. Seattle’s defense is more of the Swiss cheese variety. The legion of Boom is now the legion of Booo as they are 26th in yards given up and 25th in points allowed. And most importantly, 30th in rushing yards given up. Their big saving grace is their +2 in turnover +/-.

The Purdy Boys of course have their full complement of weapons as Deebo and Mitchell came off the injury list and everyone got into the act last week. Yeah, this is Purdy’s first playoff foray, but as we’ve seen so far, not much fazes this kid, and he has led a 10 point 2nd half comeback, gotten past early struggles, and has generally not been rattled despite some inconsistent pass blocking.

And, very good news, Dre Greenlaw should be ready to go. He alone is our best defender on screens and TE drag routes that seem to kill us. This looks to be an early battle but one we should win going away. Got to guard against the early big play that seems to dog us lately.

Woulda been nice if the Giants didn’t tank and blow our shot at becoming the #1 seed, but we did ourselves no favors by losing to Denver and Chicago. But those losses are distant memories. The 49ers are riding a 10 game winning streak, and get to face the Seattle Seahawks for a third time on Saturday January 14th. Glad to have at least two home games, and possibly even a third if we get a break in 2 weeks. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves.

Green Bay had their circuitous route to the playoffs dashed by no one but themselves as they shit the bed and lost at home to the nearly playoff-bound Deetroit Lions. Woulda been cool to see the Lions actually make it, but that glory fell to Seattle. A team that wobbled into the playoffs going 3-5 down the stretch. Speaking of wobbly, the Bucs ‘won’ the NFC South by never having been over .500 since week 3 in October. 8-9 and a home game vs the suddenly suspect Dallas defense. They went 6-2 to try and keep up with the Eagles, but Dak and Co had a pretty desultory loss against the Washington Generals.

The NFC looks pretty shakey and the 49ers should be able to win these next 3. Seattle is always a challenge given the gum-chomper always gives the 49ers fits. Maybe that was just the Russell Wilson effect though. Seattle was dogmeat last season, but with Wilson at the helm, he beats us twice. Seattle reached the playoffs this year, but we beat them handily both times with Geno’s Pizza Rolls at the helm.

And of course Wilson beat is as a member of the absolute garbage Denver Broncos.

But now shit gets real. Brock Purdy, the Super-Relevant Mr. Irrelevant, gets his first taste of playoff pressure. These last couple games have been a little inconsistent by the Red and Gold as both the Raiders and Cardinals both got off to fast starts, and both the defense and offense had their struggles. But the team is healthy.Not sure what the status of Dre Greenlaw is, but he and Emmanuel Moseley are our biggest injuries at this point.

Deebo and Elijah Mitchell got to knock the rust off, and after a few early 3 and outs, the offense clicked just fine. I’m a little worried about the pass defense as Lenoir is the one being picked on these last couple weeks. As always, the pass rush is paramount, and teams often go to the quick passing game to negate it, and the Raiders sure exploited that. The team has struggled with screens and TE drags, so getting Greenlaw back is important. Heard he has a bad back, and the hope is they are just resting him up.

This season flew by, but wow, what a weird-ass season. We weren’t supposed to have Jimmy G, let alone be counting on the last pick in the draft to lead the way. But here we are are at 12-4 and still with a shot at the #1 seed. When this team was 3-4 and had been waylaid by Kansas City, I certainly thought the team could reach the playoffs, but I sure didn’t see us running the table.

The thing about this season is, no one short of Buffalo, KC, and Cincy, inconsistency is the name of the game. Especially in the NFC. We have as good a shot as anyone of getting to the Super Bowl. None of the NFC teams scare me. Philly, Dallas, and esp. Minnesota look very beatable. We just need to do the usual. Take care of the ball. Avoid stupid penalties, and get pressure on the QB.

As far as today’s game goes, I don’t think AZ is really feeling anything but the offseason. That team has a lot of talent, but they had a lot of injuries, and a lot of giving up. Watching them on Hard Knocks was pretty cool but it really showed that the team was not playing with any urgency or heart.

So the hope is we can get on top early and get the starters out ASAP.

Tell ya one thing, it would be funny to see the Bears beat the Vikings. Let alone the NYFGs beating the Iggles.

I guess as of now, the NFL is gonna go ahead and cancel the Bills/Bengals game. Seems very odd that a game with so many playoff ramifications would simply be left unplayed. The easiest thing would be to give all the playoff teams a week off and create a week 19 to take care of this unfinished game. Cut out the 2 week Super Bowl break down to one and all is well.

But no, the NFL in its wisdom decided to let the game go since it didn’t ‘alter’ the playoff picture. Except that it would fuck up the seeding. KC stand to gain the most from this as they could very well be the #1 seed despite having lost to both Cincinnati and Buffalo.

Strange, that. But not our concern. Our big games to watch are of course our game vs the Cards (1:25 pm), Vikings @ Bears (10:00 am), and the NY FB Giants @ the Iggles. (1:25 pm). All these games are on Sunday.

The Minnie-soda game is early so we will know if the #2 seed is sewn up or not before our game starts. The Iggles are the late game as well, so the deal with that will be ongoing while we play.

FWIW, here are the games that matter in the AFC for the #1 seed. Chiefs @ Raiders, tomorrow at 1:00 pm. Ravens @ Bengals, Sunday 10:00 am, and Pats @ Bills, Sunday 10:00 am.

Still don’t make sense to me that they don’t make up the game, and there is talk of playing the AFCCG at a neutral site to forego any supposed favoritism to the missing outcome, but there you have it. Can’t upset the TV scheduling. Because TV is King.

On a very uplifting note, Damar Hamlin is off the ventilator and addressed his team in a Zoom meeting this morning. He still has a long way to go, but there is no permanent neurological damage. His first question was “Did we win?” The doctor replied “Yes, you won at the game of life.”

That the game of football is violent is plain to see. Still and all, it is a game. No matter the rhetoric around ‘going to battle’, ‘fighting to the finish’, or even ‘sudden death overtime’, the game of football is still that. A game. It isn’t supposed to be life and death out there. Unfortunately, we all saw how fragile someone can become on the field of play. Damar Hamlin, in trying to tackle Bengals WR Tee Higgins, took what looked like a fairly run-of-the mill shot to the chest. He immediately popped up, but suddenly collapsed. His heart stopped and he had to be resuscitated twice on the field before being stabilized and taken to the hospital. Players on both sides prayed, cried, and were dumbfounded and horrified at the situation unfolding in front of them and an international TV audience. The latest news is that Hamlin is ‘showing signs of improvement’ today as he is still listed in critical condition and remains in ICU on a ventilator.

Violence and football of course go hand-in-hand as the game played at the turn of 19th century was nearly cancelled by the government for all the fatalities and maimings going on in college football. It was all ground and pound as most plays were runs up the middle with 22 guys swarming each other and getting their heads smashed in or bodies twisted into paralysis. Football in the early 1900s saw 10-20 deaths with hundreds of debilitating injuries a season. But Teddy Roosevelt saved the game. He brought about rules changes to allow forward passes and illegalize the scrum-like formations that got so many players hurt. These changes lowered injuries and deaths in a big way and the modern game got its start.

Nowadays, the effects are more cumulative what with all the ‘safety’ equipment now worn by the players. Now it is CTE, early-onset dementia, the occasional paralysis, and a myriad of issues the league strives to ignore. Hamlin’s case appears to be a fluke type thing where he was hit at the exact wrong time in the exact wrong place to induce a heart attack. This doesn’t make the injury any less horrible, but it also serves to remind people that this game is inherently violent, and it is pretty hard to figure what to do other than play on. It is kinda difficult to think about this upcoming game, but this injury, like so many others, will fade. The hope is that Hamlin fully recovers and is able to live a normal life.

Not sure how or when they will make up the Bengals/Bills game as it has huge ramifications for the #1 seeding in the AFC, but I’d think they’ll add a week to the schedule after week 18 as Buffalo and Cincy will play their regularly scheduled games this weekend. I’d think they’ll add a week 19 to allow Buffalo and Cincinnati to complete their game, while the rest of the league gets a bye week heading into the playoffs.

In a game no one expected to be competitive, the 49ers and Raiders got into a shootout of pretty epic proportions yesterday as the 49ers outlasted the Raiders 37-34. The normally stout Niner defense gave up 254 yards and a 100 rushing yards. At HALFTIME. And, if not for the early goal-line stand, the lead very well would have been 24-14 at the half.

A lead the Raiders got anyway as Jason Stidham sliced and diced the Niners secondary, mostly Demmodore Lenoir on DaVante Adams, and ran effectively. The vaunted 49er defense was definitely caught sleeping and overlooking this Raider team. Jacobs ran well, and play action burned the D relentlessly to the tune of 500 yards given up.

So, is this a scary-ass game that exposed our weaknesses? Or a wake-up call to the team that they can’t overlook anyone at any time.

If anything, this gave our young gunslinger Brock Purdy a chance to show what he can do when the defense isn’t suffocating their opponent and the kid is down 2 scores late. Well, Purdy came through with flying colors. Purdy had like 75 yards passing in the 1st half but had scored 2 TDs. The 2nd half saw him throw for 200 yards and finally lead the Niners to victory after overcoming the 10 point deficit and the late missed FG by Robbie (not so) Gould.

CNMC had a huge game running the ball for 121 and a score, and 72 receiving yards, Jordan Mason added a TD run late, and Brandon Aiyuk had a big day as well going 9 for 101 and a 16 yard scamper late. The defense did get shredded, and I didn’t see us adjust by blitzing at all, but they came up with big plays late to seal the deal. Neither team got a sack, but the 2 picks by Stridham were a direct result of the pressure put on him.

So, this game was a great learning lesson for Purdy to overcome adversity, and for the defense to get this shit game out of their system. Pretty much a best-case scenario where you learn some things, but still get the win. Turn the page. Learn from the mistakes. 9 in a row.

Niners / Raiders used to mean something. It wasn’t very long ago that the teams agreed not to play in the preseason for all the fighting and mayhem. Now? Well, this is another home game for the Niners in the Roomba as the ticket purveyors are saying sales are around 70% to Niner fans.

Crazy that the Niners get games in LA that are home games as well. The league in its infinite wisdom is all about teams fleecing cities for stadiums to get built for fan bases that don’t exist. The Chargers had a huge following in San Diego and they had a promise from Alex Spanos that he wouldn’t move the team. Unfortunately that promise went to the grave as son Dean promptly moved them to a city and stadium that doesn’t care.

The Raiders? Same shit, different city. I’m sure ticket sales will be fine, but it will be predominantly away fans. The players must be bummed because both owners moved away from rabid fan bases.

Anyhow, have a happy and safe New Year’s and let’s keep the ball rolling.

Steve DeBerg, where are you? Strange times in Las Vegas as the ‘leadership’ of Tweedle-Dee and Tweedle-Dumb decide their future is to jettison the guy who has played with more guts and passion this year than McDaniels and Prince Valiant have shown their entire lives. Mark Davis is hell-bent on setting the franchise back a couple-three years while he tanks this season by benching Derek Carr for Jarrett Stidham for a shot at what? Will Levis in the draft? Carr has been the scapegoat for the Raiders issues lately, but the problem is really the head coach Josh McDaniels and his propensity to blow leads late.

The Raider players have to be completely demoralized seeing their head coach and owner give up on the season with a shot to get into the playoffs. Remote as it is. Say what you will about Carr but he, Adams, and Jacobs are busting their asses to win games while Davis and McDaniels play grab-ass on the sidelines.

Like the Cowboys of a few years ago, they are a team loaded with individual talent and no impetus to play as a team. Offensive and defensive stars but no leadership. And this is after the players lobbied long and hard for last year’s interim coach Rich Bisaccia and his staff. The Raiders were majorly fucked up after the Gruden affair, and the Ruggs tragedy. Bisaccia got the team into the playoffs and nearly beat the AFC champ Bengals and is rewarded with his walking papers. Leadership.

This looks worse than the Irsay/Saturday debacle. Danny Snyder is likely the worst of the worst in this carnival of thieves, but these guys are sliding down the turd pipe as well.

Good new for us though as we will likely have about 80% Niner fans in the Big Roomba in the desert, and the game should be decided by halftime and we can rest our starters.

Go back 2 months and no one would have the Niners, packers, or the Bucs in the playoffs. But thanks to an 8 game winning streak, and the emergence of Brock Purdy, for the Niners, and a lot of sucking in the rest of the NFC, gives us this possibility. Both the Packers and Bucs are 7-8. Brady even pulled off another ‘epic’ coma-back at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals. Like the Saints game before it, AZ stumbled, bumbled, and fumbled their way all over the field while giving Brady about 76 opportunities to win late. Which they finally did. They amazingly lead the NFC South by a game over the Saints and the Carolinas.

Same thing with A-A-Ron and the Packers. 4-8 and losing to everyone, they’ve reeled off 3 straight and all the teams around them in the hunt, the NYGs, Deetroit, and Washington all lost, and they now control their destiny. Sort of. But their chances did go up from 15% to 29%. Beat the Vikes and they jump to 52%. Win out and it goes to 89%. Silly. Miami and Tua Tavailoa helped tremendously by giving the game away with 3 late picks and Rodgers went 24/38 for 238. Tua later went back into the concussion protocol as Miami’s slide from the top has been precipitous.

Thought we wouldn’t be blessed with the old school QBs, I mean come on, man. But they are hanging around. Mainstays Dak Prescott is out there winning games. As is Jalen Hurts and the ascendant Iggles. And the shit-show that is Kirk Cousins. I still don’t believe these teams are for real. Sheesh. The NFL seems to be full of a lot of mediocre teams that can win at any time, or reel off 5 losses in a row. Hello Vegas. Even THEY are still mathematically in the race. Even sillier.

The Niners? SF has clinched, and we have Brock Purdy. The biggest surprise since what, Tom Brady 21 seasons ago? Kurt Warner? Something like that. Looking at the state of the NFC, and we are starting to look like the best team. Our defense is playing at its highest level and the offense is loaded with weapons.

Much is being made of what to do going forward for the Niners, but history paints a picture of teams that let off the gas earn an early playoff exit. And I guess the impetus to get that 2nd seed is enough to push for these last 2 wins. Minnesota has the packers and Bears to close out the season. Those early losses may bite us, but that shit is ancient history and hitting the road for our 2nd playoff game wouldn’t be too onerous. But beating Washington again won’t be easy. That defense is legit. The Giants? Meh.

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On the injury front, it looks like we very well could have Elijah Mitchell AND Deebo Samuel available for this playoff run. That would be most excellent.