Forty Niners Forever

Well, the overhyped meat festival brought to you by the folks that bring you endless nonsense anyway, ended with raving lunatics just trying to get their yowling screams heard on television. Kinda weird watching the later rounds of the draft on ESPN while the drunken leftovers of the weird underclass of fans who come out to watch the thing in the first place were down below careening around empty tables and screamong maniacally. The talking heads on the floating platform paid them no mind, almost as much as they paid no mind to the selections being made.  What starts out as kind of an exciting idea pretty much loses steam by the end of round 2. Once the big names are gone, we have about 200 selections of huh? It was starting to look like Part II of Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas.

Anyhow, you can peruse the 49ers picks on the right side of the blog here. Most notable about the first 2 picks is the speed factor. Short of Kendall Hunter, the disappearing Kyle Williams, and Ted Ginn, there is very little speed at the skill positions. At least USABLE speed (Kyle can’t get open and Ted can’t catch). So the 49ers used their 1st pick on AJ Jenkins. A very fast WR who racked up 1,271 yards his senior year in college at Illinios. He has giant hands, is fast, and appears to run routes well. He looks to be a contributor from the get-go. The 2nd round pick turned out to be a guy that Jim Harbaugh is very familiar with in LaMichael James. He was a very prolific runner for UFO, and is the small, quick back that this team sort of has in Hunter, but he can return kicks and be all over the place using that speed. A couple pf very nice picks in my opinion. They give the team a much needed boost of speed at WR and RB that they didn’t previously have.

The rest of the picks. Huh? They got a couple O linemen, Slowey and Looney (sounds like a crappy comedy team), an ILB in Daruis Fleming, Safety Trenton Robinson, and a very interesting pick in Cam Johnson, a highly rated DE who’s stock fell dramatically, as he was thought to be a late 2 to mid 3 pick. He’s in the mold of a young VD. A training room hero who seems to have motivation issues. Baalke also gained 3 picks in next year’s draft, in rounds 3, 5, and 6. Pretty deft manuvering. He got what he wanted (speed and depth), and still turned it into additional picks for next year. Pretty soon the league will be singing this guy’s praises. After the Niners win the Super Bowl this season. Young Sir Alex? Well, I’m sure the nattering nabobs will say a trained monkey could have won it with this team.

The 49ers, as with last year’s #1 pick, selected a guy that was under the radar for the general public but was highly thought of by actual NFL GMs. AJ Jenkins, from Illinios, racked up 1,271 yards and 8 touchdowns last year, all the while sneaking up the depth charts of many war room denizens. The Rams had worked him out and had placed him nearly on the same level as Justin Blackmon. The Niners went to one of his workouts and obviously liked what they saw. Some insiders had him as a early to mid 2nd rounder due to his 4.38 40 time, excellent hands, and his route-running. Sure, he’s not the prototypical 49er WR (think JJ Stokes. Well, don’t. Think Dwight Clark) who is big and sure-handed. He’s more of a speed burner DeSean Jackson type who can stretch the field. My take is he’s definitely Randy Moss insurance. But lining up both those guys outside will hopefully give defenses fits. Crabs may find himself behind Manningham as the slot guy. Guys like Kyle Williams and Ted Ginn appear to be buried on the depth chart at WR. KW likely is odd man out since Ginn is the KR guy (and let it be known Ginn was injured playing WR, not returning a kick). Unless Harbaugh is leaning toward more 3-4 wide reciever sets, and a more wode-open offense, there may be some bitching among the pass-catchers. Which means ol’ Randy becomes cranky. We’ll see how that goes.

KW was supposed to be what they drafted AJ for. A speedly guy who can create mismatches, draw safeties to him, get open with his speed, and open up shit underneath for Crabs. For whatever reason, KW just never got enough separation, and was not very good at finding open areas to catch balls. The Niners went a little overboard to address their non-production at WR, but better too much than too little. Crabs had a good enough year, but disappeared in the playoffs. Whether due to the fact that everyone knew he was the only WR worth a damn, or he just wan’t getting open himself, the team needed to upgrade the WR spot seriously. Morgan’s injury, Edwards’ slowness coming back from his many injuries, and Ted Ginn’s inability to be a genuine WR led to  these decisions to get Moss, Manningham, and AJ. UIt’s weird that a guy who can field punts in the tricky Stick winds, can’t catch passes.

Baalke had AJ pegged a while ago as the guy he really wanted, and he played the quiet game well. Other teams were definitely scouting the dude. The guy is an academic all-American, has huge hands, and is tough to boot.

One down 6 to go. At this point, I think the Niners get RB Turbin in the 2nd round. Fleenere is likely out of the mix. Don’t be surprised to see a 5th to 7th pick for WR though.

Here we are on draft day 2012, and the concensus for who the San Francisco 49ers will pick is all over the board. RG, WR, RB, CB, DT, and C have all been bandied about by the draft wonks out there. Thing is, picking at the back end means a lot more uncertainty out there than when you pick near the top. Guys who should be long gone can hang around til the 2nd round, or guys who are projected in the 2-3 rounds get snapped up early. In 2010, it was fairly certain that the Niners would draft O line help in the 1st round. Both picks? Maybe not, but they were going to take a lineman with one of those 2 first round picks, regardless. Last year? Well, no one on Earth had the words ‘Aldon Smith’ next to the Niners at 7 last year. 10,000 mocks didn’t have Smith anywhere near 7 in the draft. He was seen as a raw athletic guy who was a borderline 1st rounder. Baalke and the scouts obviously did a good job scouting and hiding the fact they wanted him, But I’m 100% certain that no one else would have picked him had they KNOWN the Niners wanted him at 7.

Frankly, Baalke’s drafts have been flat amazing. He has a lot to live up to given the fact that a lot of his picks these last 2 drafts are starting for a good team and are up-an-coming stars. All that being said, the guys that appear to be on the short list are:

WR Stephen Hill
RB Robert Turbin
TE Coby Fleener
G Amini Silatolu
SS Harrison Smith
CB Janoris Jenkins
DT Chandler Jones

The more I think about this, the more I’m leaning toward the Niners going with a Right Guard. That is pretty much a position that can be filled from the get-go without a whole lot of anguish.  And it is the biggest weakness on a team that has improved itself with those string drafts, and key FA acquisitions these past 2 years.

One of the more interesting aspects of this is the trading up/down. Baalke has done a fair bit of wheeling and dealing these past 2 years. Last year, Baalke traded up in the 2nd to get Kappy Kaepernick. He traded down in the 3rd round last year to gain a 6th round pick (Ronald Johnson. Ooops). He traded up in the 4th to get Kilgore Trout. The year before, he traded up in the 1st to get Anthony Davis, traded up in the 1st to get Iupati, and traded down in the 3rd round to get Navorro Bowman (!), as well as Anthony Dixon. The dude loves the deal. In short, the guy is quietly proving himself to be an outstanding GM.   

So, gimme your guesses as to how the Nines fill their first 2 spots in the draft. Or, what the hell. Gimme all your picks for all 7. Here’s mine:

1. G Amini Silatolu
2. WR Rueben Randle
3. RB Lamar Miller
4. CB Omar Bolden
5. NT Akiem Hicks
6. OT Levy Adcock
7. WR Jordan White

Trent Baalke, he of the pretty damn good draft record in his two drafts (see below), says he has his guy all picked out for the 30th spot in the draft. He’s not saying, of course, but the wonks out there who think they know how shit like this go, say he will go WR, RG, or RB. WR Stephen Hill, he of the blazing speed and size (6’4″, 215 lb) would lend himself to be the perfect fit, as Harbaugh likes the bigger WRs that Walsh mostly liked, if he’s available. Sanu has been bandied about (please God no), and my personal fave (not really a WR, but he can be lined up as one) Coby Fleener.

RG? I don’t know enough about the draft  to even know. This isn’t like a couple years ago when they had a huge OL need, and filled it with Davis and Iupati. Guys who are solid if not spectacular. I see them taking a couple linemen, but I have no clue who.

RB? One guy who looks like he could work is Robert Turbin. He came for a visit, so at least he’s on the radar, and he’s a plugger at 5’10”-220 lb. A nice goal line guy. That is if Kendall Hunter comes on this year and starts to play like Gore as he roll sown toward the end of his career. You have to think they like Gore/Hunter as their featured back, and they’ll have Jacobs as the short yardage guy. This year. As next year rolls around, it could very well be Hunter/Turbin in those roles.

Other than that? Well, lots of prognosticators have the Niners beefing up their DLine. Guys like Dontari Poe get some love and hope, although he could possibly be there in the 2nd round as his motor and heart have been called into question. I wouldn’t risk it with him in the 1st round, although that 4.8 40 time is otherworldly for a guy his size. If he’s there with the 2nd? Sure. but not with the 1.

Anyhow, here’s Baalke’s two drafts. 11 of the 18 drafted played roles in the path to success last year. 4 were hampered by injuries (and 3 of the 4 are still with the team). Person and Kilgore are in the mix to take over the RG spot. The only flameouts curiously enough came from USC. Taylor Mays (the guy Sing wanted in the 1st round) and WR Ronald Johnson.

2010 Draft:

1 Anthony Davis T
1 Mike Iupati G 
2 Taylor Mays DB
3 Navorro Bowman LB
6 Anthony Dixon RB 
6 Nate Byham TE
6 Kyle Williams WR
7 Phillip Adams DB

2011 Draft:

1 Aldon Smith DE 
2 Colin Kaepernick QB
3 Chris Culliver DB
4 Kendall Hunter RB 
5 Daniel Kilgore OL 
6 Ronald Johnson WR 
6 Colin Jones DB
7 Bruce Miller DL 
7 Michael Person OL  
7 SFO Curtis Holcomb DB

And once again, after a long time, the 49ers are the darlings of the NFL. They get the NFL maximum of 5 primetime games. This will be a big test for the team. They took the league by surprise last year, as NO ONE expected great things from this team. Even while it was happening. No one short of Skeebs, that is. But that was wishful thinking anyway. Anyhow, Harbaugh in his short time as head coach has rubbed a LOT of people the wrong way. he and Pistol Pete Carroll have a history that goes back to their college days. Jim Scwartz had his infamous Shakegate deal with Harbaugh last season, after the Niners last-second win over them. Speaking of Detroit, they come to the Stick for the home opener after our 3rd trip in 4 years to GB. At least it’s not the deal of winter.

The Niners have a pretty tough a start as they have the Lions, Giants, and Packers in their first 6 games, and play Minn in Minn. Again, though, I think this team has been stocked with talent for a few years, and is now finally coming to live up to the expectations of us fans. Super Bowl? Maybe, maybe not. They made a gigantic leap last year, and living up to that will be a tough tough task. That being said, teams like the Giants and Saints have gotten weaker, while only GB looks to be what they were last year.  They’ll need some luck to overcome their huge turnover ratio last year. That kind of shit is hard to sustain.  Although you have to think Aldon Smith gets better, and the D in general stays rock solid at creating havoc.

Offense? Well, the Niners finally have at least a decent cast of WRs. Moss notwithstanding. It’s a curiosity at this point, but he WILL draw attention. I’m sure we’ll see a couple new faces in the draft as there are a ton of WRs that look good at every spot in the draft. If the passing game improves (say top 15), and the turnovers stay down, that is the recipe for success. No one in the AFC looks very scary at this point, so the door is open for the 49ers.

Crabtree is participating in practice!  Well, not really. It’s non-contact OTAs! Uh, well, it’s not even that. It’s voluntary workouts with strength and conditioning coaches. Huzzah! Last year at Camp Alex, Michael Crabtree tried some new shoes on. Apparently that was an epic fail for him as it wiped out yet another preseason of activity for him. Of course Crabs’ take on it was to ignore his QB, and to dismiss anything resembling getting on the same page with Alex Smith. He had a decent enough year, but there were many many times where they weren’t in synch and didn’t connect. Let’s hope he can make it through a training camp w/o getting messed up. Again.

Larry Grant showed up at headquarters ready to sign his tender. He’s on board and ready to go. Dashon Goldson however, hasn’t signed his franchise tender, and the two sides are apparently in negotiation. I haven’t heard anything on either side of the deal, but seeing as how the Alex Smith negotiations went, I can’t think that Dashon is going to be very happy. I could care less. Let him walk after this year.

Frankly, I think the Niners wouldn’t skip a beat without him. His supposed greatness had a lot to do with Carlos Rogers and Aldon Smith being here rather than anything else on his part. Yes, he had a bunch of picks. M<ainly due to the fact that Rogers was much better in coverage than Spencer was, and the pass rush forced many more errant passes than previously. Plus, he broke up two sure interceptions in the NFC Championship game that could have easily turned the tide in a game that the niners should have won anyway. One was a bang-bang play, but the second one was due to his anawareness of his surroundings. Instead of Brock getting the pick, Goldson leveled him, broke up the pick, and knopcked him out of the game. The play was in front of him. He should have let the play develop instead of going for the highlight-reel hit.

The easy solution would be to move Culliver to safety, and put Cox in his spot. Holcomb is getting good press at CB for his comeback from injury, and we still have the draft to get a guy like Harrison Smith to strengthen the defensive backfield. So, I don’t see the Goldson situation resolving itself very quickly. I also don’t see the Niners budging much from whatever their number is.

The world is still at a snails-pace in the recently actuated 2012 NFL season. The big doings coming is the NFL draft on April 26th. The mock draft shows are cranking up, and Mel Kiper Jr’s bulletproof hair will be seen all over the airwaves shortly.

It sure is a MUCH different feel drafting at #30 than it is at #7 for the 49ers and their fans. This team, in one short season, has gone from a desperate team with a bunch of needs to one that is looking to shore up a couple positions. Here are the the $9ers pick slots:

1st round – 30th  pick
2nd round – 61st pick
3rd round – 92nd pick
4th round – 125th pick
5th round – 165th pick
6th round – 199th pick
7th round – 237th pick

No extras or even compensatory picks this year.

The defense amazingly returns all 11 starters from the 2011 season. The only need there would seem to be DB depth. The Niners did gain Perrish Cox, a CB/PR, but they lost Maidieu Williams, Reggie Smith, and Shawntae Spencer. None of them were high on the depth chart anyway, but they still need to get some warm bodies there as backups.  It would not be too surprising to see the Niners use their #30 pick to grab a safety or CB. The elite guys will be gone (Kirkpatrick, Claiborne, Barron, etc.), so Harrison Smith (SS) from Notre Dame looks like a possible. He’s big (6’2″-213) and fast, and is great in run support and coverage. A top-talent guy who has taken a credibility hit is Janoris Jenkins, the CB from  North Alabama. He’s a 1st round talent who has the dreaded ‘character issues.’ He’s a possible at 30.

Offensively, even the main weakness at the end of the season, WR, has been beefed up considerably with Mario Manningham and Randy Moss. Gone are Braylon Edwards and Joshua Morgan (who amazingly cost more than Super Mario). Even Swett Brain re-upped here. Still, the Niners will likely draft a WR or 3 in the middle rounds. Or even 2 if they want some Randy Moss West-LA-Fadeaway insurance.  The guys that could be available at WR in the 2 hole are Brian Quick, Appalachian St, a big target at 6’4″-220. He has what coaches like. Football speed. His 40 times are in the 4.5 range (not great), but he gets open downfield, has a definite size advantage over smaller CBs, and great leaping ability. Marvin McNutt is another big guy (6’3″-215) who isn’t a burner, but is an excellent route runner/possession-type WR who occasionally breaks big plays. On the flip side would be a guy like Chris Givens from Wake Forest. He’s a burner at 5″11-198 who runs 4.3 40’s. Great route-runner who has decent (not great) hands. Kind of a Brandon Lloyd type who makes great catches but drops some easy ones.

I won’t profess to even guess at who they are looking at in  rounds 3-7, but it will likely be something like RB, OL, DL, DB, WR.

The wildcard in all this would be Coby Fleener. I think if the Niners can grab him at 30, they should. He’s a big target in the red zone, and of course is very familiar with Jim Harbaugh. Delanie Walker has been fair to good, but Fleener would vault him over the top, and the Niners would have an instant mismatch down close with 2 (or even 3) TE sets. Having VD and Fleener as targets would be a good thing to have.

I’m sick and fricking tired of Bounty-Gate, the draft is still nearly 3 weeks out, and the Niners still haven’t signed a RG to replace Adam Snyder. Other than that, there’s not a lot to report regarding the Niners. Oh, the big news is that the Niners re-signed WR Swett Brain to another one year deal.

And Brandon jacobs officially signed his Niner contract. Other than that, it’s snoozeville, USA. Quite the contrast to last year’s histrionics over the lockout and ensuing weirdness.

Uh, see below for more Bounty-Gate news.

Still no word how much or how badly the players will get fined. I wonder if Carlos Rogers is a little on edge. He was ‘aware’ of the bounty program as a member of the Redskins during Williams’ time there. I doubt anything comes of Gregg’s time in DC, but who kbnows?

Ex-Saints DC (and soon to be ex-Rams DC) Gregg Williams just keeps digging a deeper and deeper hole for himself. Sean Pamphilon, a documentary filmmaker, yesterday released audiotape of a New Orleans Saints defensive meeting the night before the divisional playoff game against the 49ers. In the f-bomb-laced speech,  he targets Frank Gore (I’m paraphrasing)  “hit him in the head, hit him in the pile, get him running sideways” Michael Crabtree ” he’ll be human if you blow out his ACL” Vernon Davis ” go for his ankles on the pile” Kyle Williams “hit that little #10 to see if he’s certain” Alex Smith “blitz the f*ck out of him, hit him right here (points to chin), lay him out.”  The 5 minute speech was apparently part of a full 12 minute speech Williams gave to his defense. One that Pamphilon said Payton or Loomis were not present for. Pamphilon also said that Williams would often flash a ‘F*ck you’ card to anyone who questioned his tactics. The card meant that he was given free reign by Sean Payton and the front offfice of the Saints to run the defense how he saw fit, with no interference.

Pamphilon was with the Saints as part of a documentary he is filming called ‘The United States of Football.’ It is about all aspects of football in America from Pop Warner to the pros. The Saints gladly gave him access to practices, meetings, and games last season. Oooops. I’m sure he has a lot more where this came from. We all know the very troubling aspects of this. Bounties, intent to injure, the real threat of paralyzation, or even the specter of death, and more importantly, and the personal affront to everything Roger Goodell has been preaching regarding player safety these last 5 years. Players these days are very big and very fast. This is a little different than the relative lawlessness of the 50s and 60s. The biggest players in the early 60s are about the size of a running back these days. And they were immensely slower. Players back then didn’t train year-round, have access to designer steroids, or have fitness trainers and nutritionists. Nowadays you have 320 lb linemen who run 4.8 in the 40. That kind of speed and size was unheard of even 30 years ago, let alone in the 60s. For all the ‘pussification’ of the NFL, the fines, suspensions, and penalties, these guys are human missiles flying around out there. Adding fuel to the already competitive fire is lunacy. Goodell is still trying to see football as a clean competitive sport among gentlemen, not a blood sport a la Roller Ball.

Here’s the audio from the Williams meeting:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=fhnn9kbqQUA 

At this point, I don’t think the Saints get any leeway through any of these appeals. Williams may be banned from football for life.

You’d think that after the incredible turnaround by the 49ers this last season, there would be a lot more general happiness and excitement for the upcoming season. Seeing as the team turned around its fortunes as a perennial doormat to a bona fide Super Bowl contender in one short year. All the more spectacular seeing as there was precious little training camp, an abbreviated free agent period, and a quick preseason to implement the new offense and incorprate new systems and players. What was seen as a debacle in not wading into the free agent frenzy instead yielded gold at just about every turn.

So, here we are at the cusp of the new season, and once again, there is a general mistrust of the guy who everyone was completely blown away by in the divisional playoff game. One Alex Smith. After years of improvement, injuries, inept play-calling, yoyoing in and out of the line up, and fan fury, Alex Smith put together a season that was almost perfect. 22 TDs to 5 picks, and the amazing 2 TDs in the last 2:20 of the New Orleans game to rocket the team into the NFC Championship game. One in which he outdueled Eli Manning in a defensive battle that was decided by the 49ers special teams gaffes (yes, KW goes down in history in the same breath as PR. Players whose names shall not pass my lips. PR still hurts more for whatever reason). The front office didn’t do much to assuage these feelings by low-balling Alex, and basically giving him a make-good contract that the Niners can bail on after this season.

Smith, for his part, blows this off as just another step on his way to greatness (or even goodness?) as the once and future QB of the team. Smith and the Niners seem inexorably intertwined as partners who can’t seem to quit each other. Jim Harbaugh gets about 99% of the credit for what went down last year. Good, bad, or indifferent, Harbaugh does deserve credit for being the right coach for Alex Smith. This after 5 Mr. Wrongs in Mike Nolan, Mike Singletary, Jimmy-Hat Raye, Mike Hostler, and Mike Martz. The Teflon Mike/Aluminum Mike strategy of ‘hanging around’ til the 4th quarter, and trying to pull out wins then was grossly inadequate as the team struggled through season after season of Gore left, Gore right, Gore up the middle.  All that strategy allowed was a lot of close losses. Harbaugh, for all his offensive wizardry with QBs pretty much ran the same kind of offense, albeit one that actually had balance and flow. Yes, there were struggles with 3rd down conversions, and yes, there were consistency issues, but there were also six 4th quarter comebacks for wins. As the season went on, the team improved, and the offense had longer stretches of god rather than bad.

So, here we sit, on the edge of the unknown. Was last year an abberation? For the team as well as Alex Smith? Is this team  a flash in the pan, as Seattle and AZ proved to be with their recent Super Bowl visits followed by loud hard crashes into the dregs of the NFL? In a word, no. I suppose it could happen, but this team has a monster defense that stands to be a little better than last year (their TO ratio will be nigh impossible to match, though). The special teams unit should be fine with the swap-out of Costanzo for Rock Cartwright. New CB Perrish Cox can spell Ted Ginn for KRs. The offense has added some needed WR help in the enigma that is Randy Moss, and the recent Super Bowl hero, Super Mario Manningham. If anything, this should hopefully get Mr. Krabs to actually participate in a preseason to see if he can figure out what a hot-read is. The team is again built for a deep playoff run. The big question being, can this offense gain more consistency? Can they sustain drives better than they have? Is the recent low output of the WRs due to Alex Smith, or despite Alex Smith?

These questions, and more, will be answered, As The Quarterback Turns . . .