Game Day – A New Hope

In a galaxy far far away, blah blah blah. . . Well, this is head coach IV (the new hope, get it?) for the gang that can’t run the team straight. The Yorks are hoping against hope that Jim Harbaugh can get these guys on the right path. They’ve had one draft, and some fair to middling preseason resluts. Fairly impressive when you take into account the fact that there was little coaching time. This will be a learn as you go kind of season, but the easier games are early.

What does it mean for real? No clue. The hope is the offense gains some consistency, and the defense gets more aggressive. That’s all I’m looking for, in a nutshell. Nanoo nanoo . . .

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About unca_chuck

Lifelong SF 49ers, SF Giants, and Golden State Warriors fan
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300 Responses to Game Day – A New Hope

  1. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Don’t know if any of you all lost anyone 10 years ago today, or from the aftermath, but God bless.

  2. winder's avatar winder says:

    Gameday. It’s time to put up or shut up. I am banking on Harbaugh to actually have a game plan. We really need to kick the fucking seafucks butts.

  3. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    God Bless America. God Bless football. And God bless it if this team still doesn’t have a goddamn quarterback.

  4. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Outlook 2011

    Defense

    Defensive Line

    Any line with Justin Smith is not a bad one. Smith continues to be one of the most underrated and effective players in the NFL. The questions come at the other two spots in the 3-4 alignment, where Ray McDonald must prove he can be a healthy, effective starter, and Isaac Sopoaga must show the 49ers did not make a mistake in letting Aubrayo Franklin leave. RJF is a good versatile backup. In passing situations, the team will go with a four man line, and the ends will likely be pass rushing linebackers Brooks and Aldon Smith. Smith will stay in at one tackle, and likely McDonald at the other. Dobbs might get some looks in the nickel as well, as he seems to be a natural inside rusher.

    Linebackers

    Patrick Willis by himself makes this a productive unit. NaVorro Bowman shows signs of growing into his position alongside Willis, but may not be quite the player Takeo was for another year or two – too much of ILB is recognition. Outside, Brooks gives more rush potential than Lawson did, but may not be as sound against the run. Haralson is serviceable but nothing special on the other side, but will likely hold off Aldon in the base defense for a while. Grant will be the first guy off the bench inside.

    Defensive Backs

    Our cornerback corps is full of serviceable but unspectacular players. We have not ahd a true number one corner in a long time, maybe since Eric Davis. Rogers, Spencer and Brown are all capable but are hardly shutdown guys. Culliver has the physical tools to be very solid but is at least a year away. Brock is a good backup and nickel guy, which is not bad for an undrafted free agent. At safety, it’s good news / bad news. Whitner and Goldson are very solid in run support. They should both be capable blitzers. However, neither is the speedy centerfielder this team has lacked since the time of Merton Hanks. Reggie Smith is a very good sub who is not quite the answer. Cripple Williams is a stopgap. Spillman is a ST guy. One thing to consider is these guys are really a new unit (particularly with Goldson and Spencer hobbled). There will be a learning curve as guys get used to playing next to each other.

    Offense

    Offensive Line

    It was a work in progress five years ago, and so it remains. Lots of high draft choices, still very little unit cohesion at times. In run blocking, the unit is good but not great – pad level has been a continuing issue with these guys for years, which calls into question their ability to learn. Their pass protection has been very inconsistent, ranging from adequate to downright abysmal. It’s telling that their ‘leader’, Joe Staley, is actually a pretty pedestrian guy. The 49ers really need the younger players (Davis, Iupati and Rachal) to justify the investment in them. Goodwin is a stopgap of sorts; the 49ers will need to groom a successor for that spot starting next year. Boone and Kilgore are intriguing possibilities somewhere along the line. Snyder is mediocre but can play anywhere along the line and thus has value. Person is a very raw project who will be groomed as a swing tackle.

    Receivers

    Braylon Edwards changes the whole tenor of this group. Our first true number one receiver since T.O., he could develop into a serious weapon. On the other side, Josh Morgan starts. He is solid but not outstanding. However, in the WCO, a solid guy who just catches passes can be valuable. Crabtree has not yet demonstrated the dirve or work ethic to justify his high draft selection and needs to get his head on straight to avoid the J.J. Stokes label. Ginn is fast and terrible. Williams could hurt people from the slot if he stays healthy. At Tight End, VD is a very good blocker and big play maker, but still needs to improve his receiving on short routes. Delanie Walker is a similar receiver – some highlight plays, but not a classic TE.

    Backs

    Frank Gore will still be the man this year, as Harbaugh will need to lean on him until his other offensive needs are alleviated. Kendall Hunter is exciting and will get his chances, but let’s see how he does against NFL first stringers. Dixon needs to come in slimmer next year. He bulked up this off-season and it was not a successful move. He also needs to be more decisive in hitting the hole. Moran Norris, unfortunately, returns as starting fullback. He offers blocking, ponderous running, stone hands, and… did we mention blocking? Bruce Miller is far more athletic and could be a major upgrade once he understands his blocking responsibilities more thoroughly.

    Quarterback

    Ah, now we come to it. Much of our success or lack thereof this year boils down to, can Alex make the plays? The big slam on Smith has never been his arm or feet, it’s always his head. He is a smart guy who has been painfully slow at internalizing new systems, and sometimes has struggled to read defenses. As he is our only viable starter at the moment, its Alex or bust for 2011. My expectation is, Harbaugh will help him with better play calling, but Alex may still struggle to avoid the occasional mental errors that have always marred his game. I expect Kaep to get some looks in the Wildcat or if Smith goes down, but it’s likely to be with very measured success. He needs another training camp to be an effective NFL player, even at Smith’s level. Tolzien is a guy worth taking a flyer on, but until he has a camp in Harbaugh’s system, one can surmise very little.

    Specialist

    Lee is a very good punter and hopefully will have no lingering issues from the exhibition injury. Akers may not make people forget Nedney, but should be adequate. Jennings is a solid long snapper.

    ST

    Kickoff returns for TDs will be at a premium this year, whatever the first game had to say. Ginn will get his chances and should provide some decent field position at times. Our cover teams are being rebuilt and may be ragged for a while. Guys like Costanza, Spillman and Miller will be counted on to eventually upgrade the situation, but some breakdowns this year, resulting in painful moments, are likely.

    Overall

    Expect another Hokey Pokey year. In, out, up, down and all around. Inconsistency will likely continue to haunt us, not just from game to game but quarter to quarter and even drive to drive. We may surprise a couple of decent teams, but may also trip on our dicks against some very pedestrian ones. I expect anything better than 7-9 to be a bonus. 8-8 or even 9-7 are attainable if we get some breaks, and that very possibly could win the division, so long as Mister Bradford does not pick this year to fully grok the NFL. Alternatively, a few critical injuries could turn it into a miserable year. You pays your money and you takes your chances.

  5. NoFear49er's avatar NoFear49er says:

    Grumpy, very good assessment. Where can I read your regular column?

    Appreciate the work in that post, as always in your team outlooks.

  6. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Great job as usual, Grump. What’s your final prediction, 7-9? If I had to pick a number, I guess I’d go with that one. Although you know what I’m hoping…0-16 and draft that Stanford QB.

    Suck for Luck!

  7. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Andy Dalton just threw his first NFL TD. We shoulda drafted the goddamn ginger. Instead, we took some mook who played in the “pistol” offense.

    This team needs a pistol alright.

  8. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Thanks guys. I wish I was as hopeful as Skeebers on the Outsider, but irrational exuberance gives me gas. Maybe next year.

  9. twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

    At least it is a reasoned assessment, lacking the hysteria so often seen at the Insider and the previous incarnation of this blog. It’s difficult to fathom Jimbo’s QB strategy unless the plan is to go Shane Stant on Smith and go all in on the Luck sweepstakes. Key game to set the tone either way is Dallas next week, IMO. I expect we’ll win by a couple TDs today, following that up with a victory against a pretty good team. Smith needs a good performance in both of these games or he may need a security escort to get off the field. It’s one thing Harbaugh might have underestimated, the depth of fan “disike” of Smith. A poor start and it won’t be pretty.
    With all that said, the team and it’s QB should be better than last year.
    10-6

  10. barleyfreak's avatar barleyfreak says:

    Good analysis, Grump. “Ginn is fast and terrible.” That cracked me up, for some reason. Ginn really doesn’t have any business starting, seems to me. But he does pose a threat returning kicks. I hope Crabtree plays very little today. I have serious doubts about his timing after another annual PS hiatus. I want to see a lot of Edwards and Williams running the secondary and not so much of Ginn & Crabtree. Actually, I wouldn’t mind seeing a lot of Gore and Hunter running in the secondary — with the football of course.

  11. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    The Houston Texans are putting the league on notice: they are not screwing around this year.

  12. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Yeah, Grump, but the Colts are also putting the league on notice they want Andrew Luck. They might not score one TD all season. Want a lock of a bet all year? Anyone the Colts play parlayed to the under.

  13. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Twin, it’s not too late for Alex to be accepted. Brodie got treated like crap here, too. The point is, SF loves a winner, and pisses on the heads of losers. May not be entirely fair but there it is. Alex either gets a couple of early wins, or it will INDEED be ugly. A loss today would be a very bad thing for Alex. Lose today, and we likely start 1-5. Win today, and 3-3 (at least) looks doable. World of difference there.

    • twinfan1's avatar twinfan1 says:

      I don’t disagree. We saw it in perhaps his best game: the win against Seattle last year- the crowd was getting ugly when the first pass hit the grounnd.
      A loss today would be very bad for the team, hardly just Alex. As I posted yesterday, If the defense lets Jackson get out of the pocket, he can hurt them. He’s being under estimated.

  14. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    KC looks awful. They lost Wies, Moeaki and a guard (waters?) to the Ravens. That team might be in trouble. My boy, Fitz, looks good, though. I’m gonna dominate Del’s pussy league outta the 9 hole.

    • Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

      Fuck you. I’m gonna ride [insert gay joke du jour here] Tony Romo all the way to the championship.

      How bout dem Cowboys!

  15. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    More than a couple teams taking an early dump this morning. Kansas City and Atlanta chief among them…

  16. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Thank Jesus the Niners didn’t hire Brian Billick. That guy’s an idiot. Billick and Dilfer, two testimonies to the greatness of Ray Lewis in his prime.

  17. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    34-0 Texans. How’s that Kerry Collins working our for ya?

  18. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Just for Spit, because I know you love hearing it…
    Tom Brady and Tony Romo are my two favorite quarterbacks.

  19. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Nice job, Grump. It’s pretty much how I feel. This team now has a shot against bad teams. Good teams they’ll need to get their shit in order. Dallas? They were destined to fail with Squishy Phillips as the HC. He’s in his comfort zone as a DC. Much like Sing as a LB coach. They should be better this year with Garreett in and Romo back.

    As the season goes, though, the Niners should be improving as they go along. Can they get good enough for Balt and Pitts? MAYBE they take one, and that would be a perfect effort.

    I’m still saying 8-8.

  20. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    More of you, grump, and less of tweedle-dee and tweedle-dick would be appreciated as well.

    Insert gay-ass smiley face.

  21. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Chuck, nice job of putting up the “latest posts” with the avatars on the right-hand side. That really is helpful.

    Thank you,

    Tweedledee.

  22. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Detroit’s defense is for real. Drafting linemen top 10 instead of WRs makes a difference. TB has only 7 first downs, time of possession 3 to 1 in favor of the Lions.

  23. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Josh Johnson just replaced Freeman. First JJ drive, he looked ……….. like a backup.

  24. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Best QB today so far: Ryan “Who?” Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills. Four TDs, QBR well over a hundred. From Harvard. Fucking physicists come from Harvard, not football players. Not today, though.

  25. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Chiefs need more Jamaal Charles, less Matt Cassel. Even better, another QB altogether.

  26. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Chiefs are in trouble. Ryan Fitzpatrick ……. sitting on my bench. Startin’ off my FF year right. I make Scot McCloughan look like Bill Parcels.

    • Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

      Quit yer bitching. I’m losing to Rob. I make Jerry’s kids look like Stephen Hawking.
      Oh wait, they already do. [stick the gay-ass smiley face up your ass]

  27. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Crap! Howard Mudd is still coaching?

    I remember when he played guard for the 49ers, 1964-1969. Damned good right guard.

  28. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I’m really not impressed with the Bucs’ offense.

  29. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    49er inactives: S Dashon Goldson, DE Demarcus Dobbs, C/G Daniel Kilgore, T Mike Person, QB Scott Tolzien, NT Ian Williams, WR Kyle Williams.

    Seriously, Kyle Williams isn’t going to be given a chance to play today, but Moran Norris gets to start at FB?

    Fire Harbaugh!

  30. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Guess that means Ginn or Crabtree in the slot. Better hope Braylon, Morgan and VD have a good game.

    Out of Tuku, Dobbs and Williams, only one will be active each week behind the starters and RJF. My guess is, it’ll be Tuku for a while, but Dobbs down the stretch.

  31. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Nice throw by Freeman, better catch by Williams to keep the Bucs’ slim hopes alive…

  32. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Career starts by the Seahawks offensive linemen: Unger (17), Okung (10), Moffit (0), Carpenter (0) and Giacomini (0).

    Seriously, if we don’t beat Seattle: Fire Harbaugh!

  33. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Mudd has aged a few decades, like the rest of us.

    http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?VISuperSize&item=370540317474

  34. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Seattle is gonna be lucky to win 5 games this year. And I think I’m being generous with the 5.

  35. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Well here we go. Lift your glasses, cross your fingers, hold onto your ass… here come your 2011 San Francisco 49ers.

  36. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Let’s just hope the 49ers aren’t being the generous ones, Dennis…

  37. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    The Rams have been decimated by injuries already: Jackson, Amendola, Bartell and now the biggie; Bradford getting x-rays on his rt. hand. We might luck (no pun intended) into this yet…

  38. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Just because I always seem to give a score…49ers 23 Seahawks 13

  39. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    We already fucked up whether or not to receive or to defer?

    Fire Harbaugh!

  40. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Dick Stockton is fucking senile and needs to be put out to pasture.
    He has no clue WTF is going on…

  41. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Sure glad we just p/u Gooden from the Ravens.

    Fire Harbaugh!

  42. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Nice start on defense. Good run defense, good pass rush on third down. Followed by an utterly stupid penalty. Dumb.

  43. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Ole’ Ray McDonald came to play.

  44. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Already has more sacks than last year.

  45. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Well here comes Alex, backed up at the goal line.

  46. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    With Ginn’s hands, he should NOT be catching the ball at the 6. I have no problem with catching it at the 6 with other players. Not Ginn.

  47. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Seriously, though. How the fuck did we screw up the coin toss decision? That is so Singletary-esque.

    Fire Harbaugh!

  48. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Not bad. Made 5, 6 yards out of nothing.

  49. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    That’s what I like to see….. Smith running up the middle. Take his head off!

  50. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    And fucking Joe Staley gives it right back.

  51. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    3 and 8 ….. time for an Alex Smith pick 6.

  52. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    3rd and 7 or 8… I smell a blitz.

  53. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Who let Jimmy Raye in the building?

  54. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Fans won’t be ahppy with much more of that. JH obviously not confident in the passing game or blocking.

    Crazy punt. Better to be lucky than good.

  55. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Harbaugh had visions of a sack in the end zone or that pick six, decided to play it safe.

  56. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    “3 and out Smith.” as so dubbed by our own resident blogger supreme, Grump.

    Lots of faith shown there by Harbaugh in his QB by running the ball on 3rd dn.

    Fire Harbaugh!

  57. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Bad move by Harbaugh to challenge.

  58. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Yeah. I think it might ahve grazed Washington, but the ball was bouncing so crazy it would be hard to tell.

  59. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Harbaugh just wasted a challenge and a TO. Who the fuck is up in our replay booth, Paraag?

    Fire Harbaugh!

  60. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    D line looks great!

  61. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Seattle’s OL is a goddamn sieve. I think it’s Harbaugh’s fault.

  62. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Nice coverage on that sack, giving Justin time to wrap him up.

    The defense looks okay. Now it’s the offense’s turn to do something.

  63. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Come on, goddamnit, Alex, it ain’t rocket science, just football. just move the damned chains.

  64. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Seattle wasn’t fooled by that at all. Good coverage and rusher had Alex contained.

  65. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Sigh. Three and Out.

  66. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    New and improved Alex Smith this year. Instead of rolling right and throwing OB, he rolls right and completes a pass to VD for neg yardage.

    Fire Harbaugh!

  67. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Can’t get it to bounce any better than that!

  68. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Defense looks great. Offense? OFFENSE? You wanna talk OFFENSE? All defense and special teams right now. No offense at all.

  69. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Field position is still moving in our favor. All defense and Andy Lee.

    Be nice to see a SF first down before the third quarter here…

  70. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    We need a INT for a TD, ’cause Alex ain’t gonna score.

  71. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Nice return by Ginn. He IS good for something!

  72. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Defense and special teams. Forget Alex.

  73. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Good news: we’re certainly not missing Aubrayo.

    Bad news: we are STILL missing Steve young and Bobb McKittrick.

  74. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    When did you last see Gore make good yardage outside? that wasn’t even in Raye’s playbook.

  75. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Alex Smith gives me diarrhea. Niners need to stop running that ball. Bad combo.

  76. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Third and long now after a bobbled exchange and a run into the middle. Looks like 2010.

  77. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Bring back Jimmy Raye!

  78. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Del, I’m gonna hang 200 on your league without Fitz and Foster. From where? FROM WHERE? The 9TH SLOT? You gotta be kiddin’ me? You can’t oppress my greatness.

  79. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Just seeing that “Star Wars” commercial, and in keeping with Chuck’s theme of a “New Hope.” How many times have you guys watched Darth Vader try to squelch the rebel rebellion?

    I’m ashamed to say. You guys might think I’m even more crazy than previously before. If that’s humanly possible…

  80. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    DE – FENSE!!!!!!

  81. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Come on Alex. This is NFL QB time. Get it done.

  82. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I’m not kidding about this. I honestly think I could play qb better than Alex Smith. No joke. Put me in, coach. I’m not ready to play … today, but hey, I’m better than Alex Smith.

  83. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    Can I revise my Seattle win total? This POS group will be lucky to win 3 games this year.
    and I think I’m being generous with the 3.

    Alex Smith is god motherfucking awful.

    Fire Harbaugh!

  84. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Alex just didn’t see the field again. And no chemistry with Crab-boy.

  85. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Christ. Smith is looking skittish as hell.

    Check down motherfucker.

  86. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I want Harbaugh to activate me at half. I’ll be there. I’m ready to play qb.

  87. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    And some people have the unmitigated gall and audacity as to question why a certain faction of the 49er Faithful hate Alex Smith with a passion.

    People: he fucking sucks.

  88. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Harbaugh needs to activate me at half. I guarantee you I could throw a TD without coughing it up or turning it over. I’m ready!

  89. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I’ll only play qb if I can wear # 69.

  90. Fugazi's avatar Fugazi says:

    Akers is gonna make a shitload of points for someone’s Fantasy team this season.

  91. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Ah, Christ, that’s why I hate Ginn. That and his fucking stone hands.

  92. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I’m okay with Ginn doing that, because hey, he’s more explosive than anything Alex.

  93. Del Mar Dennis's avatar Del Mar Dennis says:

    WTF is Ted Ginn thinking? Fuck him. And just for good measure — fuck Alex Smith.

  94. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    So far, our offense looks good enough to beat Seattle, with a lot of help from the defense and Andy Lee. the rest of the NFL. Umm… no.

  95. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I coulda completed that pass to Vernon. Put me in coach.

  96. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    I was sure that was going out of bounds or a pick. But it actually was a good play.

  97. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Another penalty. Sloppy game.

  98. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    Third and short. A good team would convert this. Even a not-so-good team.

  99. grumpyguy's avatar grumpyguy says:

    But not us. Fuck.

  100. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I like Jack Harbaugh. Alex is addicted to the check down. He needs a twelve step program…. 12 steps right out the door.

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