Draft Picks, Get Yer Draft Picks . . .

The 49ers come into this upcoming FA period (starting March 4th) loaded for bear in the draft department. They have (not including their 3 compensatory picks):

1. First round, No. 31 (No. 31 overall)
2. Second round, No. 31 (No. 61 overall)
3. Third round, No. 12 (No. 74 overall): Carolina Panthers via 2012 Draft trade
4. Third round, No 31 (No. 93 overall)
5. Fourth round, No. 31 (TBA)
6. Fifth round, No. 24 (TBA): Indianapolis Colts via 2012 Draft trade
7. Fifth round, No. 31 (TBA)
8. Sixth round, No. 12 (TBA): Miami Dolphins via 2012 Draft trade
9. Sixth round, No. 31 (TBA)
10. Seventh round, No. 21 (TBA): Cincinnati Bengals via Taylor Mays trade
11. Seventh round, No. 31, (TBA)

The Niners will get a 3rd (or 4th) round comp pick plus two 7th round comps for a total of 14 draft picks. That’s a lot of bodies. And they haven’t even traded Alex Smith yet. Who knows how many picks that brings?

Anyhow, this gives Trent Baalke and the braintrust many many scenarios to pursue in order to get their desired players. Frankly, I could see them trading down and getting picks for 2014. And trading for 2014 picks with Alex. The good news for the Niners is this is not a top-heavy draft, but it is a very deep draft for their particluar needs. DL and secondary. This draft is also notable for the fact there may not be a QB taken in the 1st round. Unheard of, but possible. I mean, if Aaron Rodgers can slip to 25, Geno Smith could slide to 35. Matt (hot-tub) Barkley? Hello 47. The Niners will have six picks in the first 4 rounds. They can address their pressing need for defensive backfield help (and depth) and add more stout bodies to the D line. Maybe a DE/OLB pass rusher as well.  The mid-late rounds will be reserved for wideouts, and maybe the possible TE if the Niners don’t deal for Ertz. Not likely but possible when you look at the struggles they had in the red zone. You’d think between Crabs and VD, someone would get open, but VD was usually double covered, Crabs drew a lot of attention, Moss was a non-factor, and the rest weren’t up to the task. Also, they’ll get a kicker late. I don’t think there’s much doubt re the fate of David Akers. He of the 63 yard FG in week 1. Although if he healthys up, who knows if Jimbo lets him stay.

I of course look to NJ49er and 12th (among others) to provide the essential need-to-know guys available in the draft. Once free agency rolls around and player moves are made throughout the league, I’ll start paying attention to the mock drafts and such. I don’t know too much about the players this year, but I’ve been pretty good at assessing the Niners needs these past few years. Really!

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About unca_chuck

Lifelong SF 49ers, SF Giants, and Golden State Warriors fan
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194 Responses to Draft Picks, Get Yer Draft Picks . . .

  1. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    Lotulelei has a heart condition?
    Talk about upsetting the Combine pecking order.
    This could be disastrous for the kid’s future.

  2. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    Funny, on the punt near the end, the announcers say that the Niners can’t get in to block the punt, and in the end zone view, you can see every rusher being held as they try to get to him. It likely wouldn’t have mattered, but it was another case of the many non-calls all night.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      I hear you Chuck.
      I’m not going to go all ‘Seattle/Pittburgh’ on the Officiating because we end up sounding like a bunch of whiners but…..

      It does show how far the pendulum swings in terms of ‘interpretation’ on flag-worthy calls in this League.
      Could you imagine if Hochuli had that game? Might have been a laundry party.

      We’re back in the Playoff conversation and we’re young.
      Let’s hope we have a couple more opportunities to make it right over the next few years.

  3. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    I think it’s the Chefs . . . Great googly moogly.

    • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

      Time to start a pool as to what the trade pick(s) are?

      I read that Miles Austin is likely a cap casualty in Jerruhland

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Jerruhland – touche’.

        Can there be enough bad expletives to use for that douche bag?
        I hope he hangs around for a long long time doing just what he’s so good at.

        Thinking he has all the answers while continuing to bungle his way through his own self promotion hype.

        Flaming Cowpattie.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Yeah he is a class ‘A’ POS. GM extraordinaire at least in his befuddled mind. I think they should sign Romo to a new contract and thankfully so does The Jerruh.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Tony Promo, Cap Reliever.
        They can’t sign Spencer et al, until Tony frees up some breathing room.

        Go ahead, sign a 33 year old QB to another extension.
        His next Playoff win will be his 2nd?
        Not bad when you consider how long he’s been preparing for it.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        See if Jerruh addresses the OL in April.
        I’m betting he won’t.
        He’ll continue to ignore the obvious and beef up the Defense for his Geriatric D-Coordinator while Romo runs for his life with no protection or a reliable RB.

        Jerruh = Modern Era Al Davis.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        With 14 Picks pending this year, I’d be glad to get anything this year as long as there’s a higher Rd Pick next year.
        Maybe a 4 this year a 2 next?

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Good analogy The Crypt Keeper 2.0
        I originally thought a 3 and a 5 for Smith, then looking at the market I figured a 2 and a 5.
        I think on balance I will say a 3 and a 5 this year or a 3 this year and a 3 to a 4 next year, incentive based depending on playing time and/or milestones meaning if he plays well a 3 or stinks a 4. Final answer

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        If it’s a deal involving KC, we could get creative 12th.
        We hold 2 3s with the possibility of acquiring an extra 3 as a lost FA Comp.

        Perhaps swapping the higher of our 3s (Pick 74) with them, (Pick 63) and a 2 from them next year?

        That would close the gap with our 2nd, (Pick 61) which would provide a little more Trade up value, Picks 61 & 63.

        Can’t wait to hear the details.
        Assuming of course this isn’t just some well timed Combine generated pre-trade hype.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        If I understand you correctly NJ that would mean in essence getting a 2+ from them? I would be happy but mildly surprised.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        We get their 2 for our higher 3 12th.
        In essence, swapping positions.
        They stay ahead of SD by getting our 74 for their 63.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        We’d be picking up Alex’s March Roster Bonus of $1Mil to facilitate the Trade.
        It’s nearly a wash in terms of Trade value I’d propose.

        Gives us our 2nd, (61) with their 3rd (63).
        They slide back from 63 to 74 in that scenario.

        Doable?

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        My error.
        It’s their 3rd for the higher of our 2 3s.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Yeah I’d say that was doable. Improves both teams without breaking the bank.

  4. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    I am seriously relieved Smith is finally gone, not necessarily because of his play but because I’m sick of hearing his friggin name.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Conjures up that old jingle from the Wizard of Oz for me.

      ‘Ding Dong the witch is dead’.

      Turn the page, forward we go.
      Alex for ANYTHING is a positive move.

  5. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    PFT says probable Goldson hits the open market. For that to happen they must be far apart on money/time of contract.

    http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/category/rumor-mill/

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Yeh 12th I saw that.
      Good.

      He tested FA once before and found no ‘Retirement Offers’.

      I seriously think the Market is adjusting simply because of the Rookie Cap.
      Goldson has value, i just think he believes there are more Albert Haynesworth-type deals out there.

      I’d let him test it again.
      Plenty of young DBs coming out this year.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        i prefer to keep Goldson, but not at any price. Like we talked about a few days ago, not using the FT is not really a surprise. I think 6.5 mil a year, 3 year contract escalating 1 mil a year in guaranteed terms was about right. The “announced” contract could read 5/40 or whatever.
        I reckon Goldson has overestimated the market again if that report is accurate.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Agreed 12th, keep him at our price not his.
      He was a 4th Rd pick who had trouble staying healthy early on.
      Won’t kill me to replace him with a younger guy but, continuity has it’s value as well.

      See how it shakes out.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Fascinating draft and off season this year, the team has literally every option and just about all the leverage. The draft matches up with need, speedy WR, DL, DB they have depth at most positions already, 14+ picks on the way. Hard to get a feel for the team direction since they can do just about anything, even the cap is no biggie once Smith is gone.

        Good problems to have.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Absolutely.
        A well played hand as it were.
        I just added a reply to your earlier comment regarding the Alex Pool.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Glad to see the back of the early Nolan days when the roster was so thin they picked up DB’s off the street and played them the same week.

  6. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    Baalke has managed to completely surprise me in both of his drafts so far. I didn’t see Aldon Smith coming (good surprise) and damn sure didn’t see AJ Jenkins coming (surprise) I am fairly certain Baalke will pick someone off the radar because that’s his MO so far but I bet he doesn’t do the smug “we know better than the rest of you”, “name in an envelope” bit again.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Same here 12th.
      Aldon was a guy I did some reading on but didn’t see him as high as he went.
      Baalke found a piece that fit what we were looking for.
      Great Scouting, good Pick.

      I sort of discarded NT John Jenkins a few weeks back but, I now have him back on the radar.
      I really wouldn’t mind getting huge on the inside of the DL with a 350lb space eater like him.
      If Lotulelei is going to slide due to heart issues, everyone else in that group moves up.
      Might have to reconsider where he could be had if in fact Baalke sees the upside in that type of player.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Yeah I hear ya on the beef in the middle but think there is more value DT/DE than NT in terms of playing time for Fangio’s D scheme.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Should be interesting 12th.
        I could live with the space eater only because I prefer that sort of piece in the 3-4.
        I think the Big Man inside gives some help to the DEs and OLBs.

        See how that all comes together.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        I was wondering if Fangio plays the scheme the way he does to fit the players, meaning if he had more heft in the middle he would play more traditional 3-4. Ice isn’t ideal as a space eater.

  7. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    JAX and the Browns are eliminated as the mystery trade team according to their local papers. Things are pointing to the Chiefs and Andy Reid in the early guessing. Place your bets. Where’s Phil when you need him?!?

  8. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Where there’s smoke, there’s fire. This could be great news. I could see the 49ers trading for future picks. But if the trade is with the Chiefs, I want the picks now….. because they’re first. Jets? I want future picks (they’ll only get worse). Arizona? Just give him to them because that’s a gift that keeps on giving.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Anything at this point is satisfying.
      KC would be ideal.
      I can’t locate the exact Contract number for Cassel but thought I’d seen reference made in an article suggesting he was at $7.5Mil this year.

      If so, it’s exactly what Alex is owed after April 1.
      In essence, we pay the $1Mil Roster Bonus to deal him in March.
      How much smoother could that be?

      Now we await the official word in 3 weeks on Compensation.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Cassel was in the same situation as Sanchez.
      Fans couldn’t wait for him to go.
      Of course, as we’ve beaten to death already, Sanchez has a prohibitive Contract situation.

      We’ll find out if KC got the deal done with us or not when it’s allowed to be confirmed.

    • TOUCHDOWN TOMMY's avatar TOUCHDOWN TOMMY says:

      Is there no end to your bullshit? You are the only person on this earth who thinks Alex Smith is going to the Jets.

  9. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    I’m going out on a limb and saying the Chiefs gave us a second round pick. Maybe it’s wishful thinking but if a deal is already done, the 49ers didn’t think they could do any better. The Chiefs will take Joeckel at one and have Smith as their two. Not bad. Joeckel replaces Albert (if he leaves) or upgrades their line. Then the Chiefs have Bowe (who they want to resign), Charles, Moaki, Smith, McCluster and Breston. Not a bad offense for Reid to walk into.

    For the 49ers, though, (if I’m right) Cha-Ching! 31 and then 33? In a draft that’s deep? I love it. Now we can go after a CB in free agency, draft a DT in the first and a safety in the second. Then with our own second we can go after a wide receiver? Or really, any combo of these things opens up. Some free agents, three impact players in the first two rounds? And here’s something else to think about. There’s a night to think and/or trade the 33rd overall pick between the first and second rounds. Teams that fall in love with a guy might want to call the Niners and purpose a trade. Remember the Andy Dalton drama? If I’m right that the 49ers got a second for Smith, we’re in business for a long, long time.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      I went with a different proposal earlier in the thread with 12th, suggesting 61 & 63 instead.
      We swap the higher of our 3s with KC to obtain Pick 63 to pair with our 2 at 61.

      In addition, hopefully, we get a 2 from them in 2014 as well.

    • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

      Spit you should run for political office. You went from Smith will be cut to we got a second in the blink of an eye.

      Rather than taking the position that the Niners couldn’t do any better, another scenario, presuming that it is KC, is that they met the asking price.

      I presume they shopped him to all interested parties and KC coughed up the necessary, due dilligence is something Baalke does well.

      I doubt a second rd pick straight up as you suggest but not impossible, just unlikely IMO.

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        It’s always easy to second guess someone creating theories and scenarios. Create some for yourself. Put yourself in the Niners’ shoes. They just started shopping him and didn’t hold out for more this early in the game. They got a good offer….. either that or they knew they lost leverage the longer the off season wore on. I’m thinkin’ a second from the Chiefs….. if it’s the Chiefs.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        I contribute plenty of my own thoughts Spitty, don’t believe your own hype big guy.

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        I don’t hype myself, but I am a geneous.

    • TOUCHDOWN TOMMY's avatar TOUCHDOWN TOMMY says:

      Spitblood

      Sad when you steal directly from Matt Barrows and try to pass it off as your own material?

  10. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    After seeing some of the results from the smaller WRs today I have to wonder how realistic it is for us to retain Mario Manningham?

    He’s a 6′ guy and, there are more than enough guys of similar size with better speed.
    Have to figure he isn’t going to be ready for duty after ACL/PCL surgery either.

    2 guys that lit it up today, in terms of speed, were Swope and Boyce.
    Swope has the gaudier numbers but, the TD production is about equal.

    Swope played an extra Season too. Boyce is a Jr.
    I’m impressed with the 22 reps of 225 Boyce did too.
    Good upper body strength and speed.
    Totally works for me.
    Have to figure Miami wants Swope to reunite with Tannehill and Sherman, which means they might pull the trigger on him early.

    So….I’m going to go out on a limb and put Boyce on the list for the later Rds.
    We’ll call it for Rd 5 if not later.

    • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

      Have to admit that Manningham injury puts him in doubt, it is a gnarly one. He does have great experience at the highest levels of the game though. I wouldn’t just cast him aside for an untried rookie if it’s likely he can play at that level again.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Agreed 12th, he’s facing an uphill battle and, is unlikely to be ready early, we’ll see?
      Not suggesting we cast him aside so much as we prepare to have an alternate plan.

      I’m impressed with the depth of the ‘shorter’ crop of options in this Class of WRs.
      Obviously, we have plenty of Picks to experiment with too.

      Just throwing up some thoughts just in case.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        For WR they need a fast twitch slot guy and a big bodied guy to replace Moss and either Manningham or Williams. Lots of receivers fit the bill in rds 3-5 and Baalke has the ammo to move up and snag someone if he still has some envelopes left.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        2 of the ‘taller’ guys that look interesting are Mark Harrison from Rutgers and Justin Hunter from TN
        Both guys ran extremely well, sub 4.5.
        Hunter will go high, Harrison fits that late Rd experiment label.

        So many possibilities, damn near mind blowing.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Marquess Wilson Washington St has been on my radar too, simply for size and numbers.
        Big kid, didn’t run all that well today, 4.51.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Haven’t seen Harrison, will check him out. I figure they may go free agency too. A lot depends on Mario and KW. I would think Moss is gone.
        Amendola may be available too.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        Yeh, I’d say Moss gone too.
        Good point with KW too. Tough to know what to expect from him and Mario at this point.

        Amendola is another guy that can’t stay healthy but is a nightmare to cover when he is.

        I’m more for spending some of those Picks on this deep Class of options as well.

        Should be a fun Spring watching all of this unfold.

      • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

        Welker is probably going to hit the market but he’s a high ticket item in a rich draft class of clones.
        Some decent guys were released already but with the draft so close teams are waiting. The rookie cap effect at work.

  11. Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

    Interesting to see what will happen with Star. 44% of the left ventricular? That’s no bueno. I like that kid. Think the 49ers should take a chance on him if surgery isn’t required. Even if it is…. he’s still intriguing.

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Certainly changes the pecking order big time.

      I’m now going back to Jenkins, earlier than I originally wanted to, because of this news.
      I still like the idea of having some tonnage inside.

      No idea what the problem represents for his (Lotulelei) career in football now?

      Stay tuned.
      If it isn’t career threatening, Stanford is a 1st class place to have treatment.

    • TOUCHDOWN TOMMY's avatar TOUCHDOWN TOMMY says:

      44% isn’t that bad because 55% to 70% is normal. He is only off by 11% which is treatable.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        I’d hope so for his sake TD Tommy.
        Young guy with everything going for him in terms of talent.

        Hopefully it’s just a business concern for the Teams looking at the risk and not his long term health at risk.

  12. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    Amazing to me Star got all the way through college football without that coming to light.

  13. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    I’ll tell you what, Miami is sitting pretty in terms of having bullets to use in this Off Season/Draft too.

    They hold 9 Picks, with twin Picks in Rds 2 & 3.
    On top of that, they have a boatload of Cap money to spend in FA.

    Very possible they could land WR Mike Wallace and, they could bag Jennings if they wanted to bring another GB piece onboard.

    It’s looking like GB South with Philbin and Sherman plus the TX A&M Tannehill / Swope connection being another possibility.
    Sucks for the rest of the AFC East if they muscle up this Spring.

    Look out if they get a running game going.
    Highly probable Reggie Bush will split.

    • 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

      I read a piece where GB may FT Jennings at 10 mil I think it was.
      Not sold on Tannehill yet. They do have a lot to play with now that you mention it, maybe the Pats don’t get a free pass to the playoffs this year?
      Bills have been cutting players and as for the Jets, well enough said about them, so it’s up to the fins to make Bellicheat earn his check.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        It would be fitting to have GB tie up FTag money on Jennings and handcuff them elsewhere wouldn’t it?

        Pats are having their issues too huh?
        Makes you wonder about all that Spy-Gate-Video stuff too.
        What have they accomplished since that all got exposed?

        Buffalo and NYJ?
        What can be said there.
        The Bills got shanked with Not So Super Mario in FA among other blunders but, they’re likely closer to respectability than the Jets.

      • Spitblood's avatar Spitblood says:

        Always possible Chuck is 12th. He’s definitely Bullit on the Outsider, and Touchdown Tommy here. I wouldn’t put it past him that he’s Nipper, 12th, Bullit and Tommy. He’s just that fuckin’ nuts.

      • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

        The Jets got shanked by Tannenbaum.
        Self inflicted wounds are harder to swallow.

        The Salary Cap may have been implemented because of Eddie D but, it sure put a spotlight on how valuable a Front Office is to NFL survival.

        Where Al Davis left off, Jerruh continues to set the pace for Front Office Bravado and self promotion.
        Hope Jerruh doesn’t change a thing.

  14. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    Some interesting POV on the blog again tonight guys. Chucks blog is becoming a go to source.

  15. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    Shows how important those huge contracts for QB’s are, Sanchize almost single handedly took Ryans Jets from contenders to pretenders and screwed them for 2 more years to boot and Fitzpatrick did similar but to a lesser extent to the Bills who signed Tavares Jackson to compete with him. Super Marion killed the cap there too.

    Baalke never seems to overpay yet gets good value anyway. I like his approach, probably why Goldson may test FA for the second time in 3 years despite what Harbaugh said.

  16. 12th man's avatar 12th man says:

    Dammit, meant NJ of course, my bad.

  17. NoFear49er's avatar NoFear49er says:

    NJ49er, 12th man, et al, the source on that holding call non-call I put up earlier was Peter King’s column. Scroll down to the photo of it.

    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/nfl/news/20130211/monday-morning-quarterback-peter-king-offseason-week-1/

    • NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

      Having watched the replay numerous times I saw Bruce suspended briefly so as to render him weightless and helpless to have any chance at that KR.

      His jersey was completely up with his pads exposed yet it’s not holding?
      Gotta laugh or go Postal I guess?

  18. NJ49ER's avatar NJ49er says:

    Thanks NoFear49er, just goes to illustrate the point that Rules are left to interpretation I guess?

    Holding is holding as long as you don’t take a guy to the ground?

    As I mentioned previously, we need to explore that option for our own benefit apparently.
    Strange how a handful of jersey on an OL/DL-man or a WR isn’t applied the same way huh?

    Ludicrous.

  19. unca_chuck's avatar unca_chuck says:

    I am the walrus, Spitty. and you are an idiot of the highest order. The teams on my radar all along for Smith were in order, Cleve, KC, Jax, and the Jets. AZ was for Smith if he was released. Jax didn’t take Roma, therefore, I figured Smith lost his oppo there. The Jets were too constrained by the Snachez mess. It’s still down to Cleve and KC.

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