A New Wrinkle – A Divisional Weekend

Glancing at the sportsbooks regarding spreads and such for this weekend, I came across this gem:

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“One less game is the easier road, that’s pretty much the reason why the Chiefs are Super Bowl favorites,” says Caesars Sportsbooks’ assistant director of trading Adam Pullen. “Even though the Bills are prohibitive favorites against the Dolphins, that’s still one more game that they have to play. But if they were to meet in the AFC Championship, the Bills would be favored and be Super Bowl favorites then.”

  • Bettors agree: At Caesars, Buffalo (+400) leads all playoff teams in both bets (16.7%) and handle (21.0%).
  • The public’s next-favorite team is the 49ers at +450. They have garnered 12.4% of the tickets and 15.4% of the money — creating tremendous liability for Caesars.

“The 49ers are the one team we do not want to win the Super Bowl,” Pullen says.

So, Caesar’s stands to lose a lot of money should the 49ers win it all? Hmmm, nothing to see here, eh?

I’m sure there are games every week that are bad for the bookies, but when you get to the playoffs, I sure don’t like reading shit like this.

_________________________

Saturday, Jan. 21

AFC: 1:30 pm (4) Jacksonville Jaguars at (1) Kansas City Chiefs (-9) NBC
Jax may give KC a run for a while, but KC wins going away.

NFC: 5:15 pm (6) New York Giants at (1) Philadelphia Eagles (-7.5) FOX
Backing the Giants on this one. Philly is erratic. Same with Dallas.

Sunday, Jan. 22

AFC: 12:00 noon (3) Cincinnati Bengals at (2) Buffalo Bills (-5.5) CBS
Buffalo circles the wagons and takes care of biz. This and the 49ers game look to tbe the exciting ones.

NFC: 3:30 pm (5) Dallas Cowboys at (2) San Francisco 49ers (-4) FOX
If the 49ers can play clean and take care of the ball, they should be able to outlast the Cowboys and their erratic play. Watch for bad ref calls, and we’ll know the fix is in.

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About unca_chuck

Lifelong SF 49ers, SF Giants, and Golden State Warriors fan
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22 Responses to A New Wrinkle – A Divisional Weekend

  1. Winder says:

    I just hope the refs let everyone play a clean game and not fuck things up. Wherever there’s big money there’s graft, nature of the beast.

    • PaulinAsia Banh Bao says:

      Just curious, do you think this happens, especially in playoffs? You often hear about shady refs and bad calls, but how much of it is truly corrupt? Or just a simply version of a ref liking a team better than the other one?

      • Winder says:

        I honestly don’t know. I do know people will do a lot of things for money/personal reasons. Some calls are so blatantly wrong that it makes you wonder.

  2. willedav says:

    Peter Hartlaub in Chron has story with pics of when Niners won first SB over Bengals. Wild stuff, North Beach, cruising Mission yada yada. Good times, in city that had seen lot of adversity (Jonestown Milk AIDs et al).

    • unca_chuck says:

      Heady times. Having lived through the Brodie playoff losses, and the general mayhem of the 70s in SF, and it was a very welcome joyous diversion.

    • alleykat69 says:

      The glory days of the 49ers in the 80’s will always be embedded in my mind.Thru a huge party(1984)at my house all decked out in Red&Gold ,booze,keg,plenty of food the ladies all supplied and I bbq as well.. After the win being stupid &tipsy I piled a bunch of friends in my pickup drove down to el Camino and cruised from San Carlos up to San Mateo as were all yelling Niners Niners Niners Super Bowl Champs Baby!! It finally was a relief breaking thru after the fucking Cowboys and Brodie( who I admired for his gritty toughness) couldn’t finish them off with the killer onside Preston Riley fumble that will never be forgotten that clinched the loss!!

      • unca_chuck says:

        Yep. Said this before but I was at the infamous Preston Riley game in the south end zone and saw the 4th quarter TDs by Dallas. Horrible game.

        When we got home we found out our house had been robbed.

  3. willedav says:

    AFC seems like stronger conference at top, though Bills sure struggled vs. Fins backup QB. Whoever gets to SB from there will be tough opponent.

    • Winder says:

      Mahomes is the difference maker to me. Burrow has found himself and Allen has shown to be human but I don’t see any team better than the Niners other than Mahomes style of play.

  4. unca_chuck says:

    That’s the thing, Paul. There’s no way to know. NBA had their scandal with the Kings/Lakers conference finals and Tim Donaghy that the league swept under the rug as fast as possible.

    Calls are random enough and enforced so randomly that calls like the Rams/Saints game a few years back just happen and the game is permanently altered.

  5. unca_chuck says:

    Buffalo doesn’t seem to have the defense. I’m not really sure about KC’s. I think we can stop Buff, but they can score. KC took it to us but we were beat-up at the time.

    And pre-BCB-CMC.

  6. alleykat69 says:

    Kat’s picks..
    Chiefs over Jaguars 38-24
    Eagles over Giants 24-18
    Bills over Bengals 35-31
    SF 49ers over Cowboys 31-20

  7. willedav says:

    Man our buddy Loo must be tripping.
    Meanwhile no Mahomes no problem.

  8. willedav says:

    Oh shoot just read Sal Bando died at age 78.
    Loo would I’m sure post one of his green/gold baseball cards. Solid player in his day.

    • alleykat69 says:

      Bummer about Sal Bando he was the glue that kept the A’s in line with that renegade bunch but so talented teams in the 70’s…RIP Sal a true veteran presence leader!

  9. willedav says:

    Give them credit, J-Ville making this interesting.

  10. PaulinAsia Banh Bao says:

    Been guessing the #1 and #2 seeds will all win this weekend (let’s see about tomorrow), then next week the two #2 seeds win, setting up Bills/Niners, which I think would be a great SB.

  11. willedav says:

    Didn’t see second game–are Eagles this good? Defense and pass rush appear formidable, and Hurts and their running game very impressive. They are #1 seed and will be at home for Championship game. Thoughts?

  12. Irish Kevin says:

    Dallas and Eagles are going to be tough, I think the Eagles will give the Niners the hardest time. The Niners don’t seem to be able to cover a running QB. As far as Dallas goes…since Dallas Coach made a big deal over the Niners being favored. He will use that to motivate his team. Hopefully Kyle and Demarco have the Offense and Defense ready to go in the first half, I don’t think the Niners can afford to fall behind, even if it is by 1 point. Go Niners, 33-21.

  13. unca_chuck says:

    Greenlaw is essential to contain a mobile QB. He didn’t play the 1st time vs. KC.

  14. Winder says:

    This game is gonna be on Purdy’s shoulders, we will see what we really have today. I think we got a gem and I think we are gonna stomp on the Boys. I really don’t like saying stuff like this(cause I don’t want to jinx em) but that is how I feel.

Brock Purdy, Come On Down!

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