I need a ladder to see the sun . . .
Well, Vegas certainly isn’t giving us the love. They give us 5.5 as our win threshold. Down in the dregs of the NFL also-rans. Not that we haven’t been there before, but even this year is different than the pre-good times of the 2011 preseason. Vegas back then said 7.5 was the number.
I certainly thought they’d do better than that, but not the eventual 13-3 they became. Not too many people did. But back then we had a team full of talent, a front office full of turmoil, and a brand new coaching staff.We had a bunch of players who were not even sure if they were going to see the field, let alone play, as the strike was staggering to its conclusion. So, what does that mean for this year? No one knows. we don’t have near the talent that the 2011 team had, we still have a front office full of turmoil, and again we have a new coaching staff.
But, how this year plays out remains the big butt. Can Chip’s offense withstand the scrutiny that appears to have taken the wind from its sails? Can Colin Kaepernick regain some of his previous glory? Can the defense get out of the basement it fell in to last year? Can the offensive block? Will any of Baalke’s recent draft picks, including 35 UDFA WRs and CBs, actually do anything? Can these new draft picks actually play? Can the latest injured draft choice get healthy?
I think we will get at least a 2 game bump from last year. I don’t think the team can play much worse than it did with Jimmy T and the knothole gang coaching it did in 2015. The thing is, though, the team was two missed FGs from 3-13. Some say that would have been nice to get further up the draft board, but that is neither here nor there. This is about win totals for this year, not the spectre on meaningless wins late on a disaster of a season.
BUT, one could say that the 2 wins we did get late last year were gifts, and that our win total this year will likely be the same. And there’s a certain amount of truth to that. 5-11 is a distinct possibility given the strength of schedule, and the lack of WRs, and a front line in flux. Let alone a defensive corps that has had a revolving door at CB due to injuries and defections.
Still and all, I’m going fairly optimistic and saying 9-7. No playoffs.
I think the rest of the NFC West is coming back to us, and not improving.